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hurrgustav
An Infa-red (IR) image of Hurricane Gustav taken on August 31, 2008; 08:17:15 UTC - NOAA
The storm is well defined and the eye is present in this IR image. Strengthening of the storm is indicated by the dark blue coloration.

ALERT: Hurricane Gustav Warning

August 31, 2008; Updated 15:30hrs MDT

Hurricane Gustav is an extremely dangerous storm, and continues to grow in size. The storm is currently a category 3, but could easily grow to a category 4, or even 5 in a relatively short period of time. The eye of the storm is defined, and the storm is extremely well structured.

The storm is currently taking aim at the part of New Orleans that escaped severe damage from Katrina, so the storm is being watched closely. Heavy rains, accompanied by a massive storm surge could easily overwhelm the area, inflicting heavy damage on a city already reeling from $81 billion dollars in damage to the other side of New Orleans, inflicted by Katrina in 2005. Note: Due to upper level wind conditions, the storm could alter course; this is why it is hard to predict where this storm is going to come ashore. The area most likely affected by this event, based on current movement of the storm, is SSW to West of New Orleans. Bands of heavy storm activity is going to impact the New Orleans area; that is fairly certain.

The latest from the National Hurricane Center:

000
WTNT32 KNHC 312039
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
400 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

...GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD
ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND TEXAS COASTS TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH
ISLAND EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY
OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES...
350 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR.  THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.  FLUCTUATIONS
IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
MILES...350 KM.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD
ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.  ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN
THE DRY TORTUGAS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES OVER PORTION OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.   ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ABOUT AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND
SOUTH FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...26.4 N...87.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

******************

Aug 30, 2008 Story

000
WTNT32 KNHC 301805
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

...GUSTAV BECOMES AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...
...WESTERN EYEWALL DIRECTLY IMPACTING THE ISLE OF YOUTH...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...ISLA DE
JUVENTUD...MATANZAS...AND CIENFUEGOS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN
COMPLETED.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCE
OF VILLA CLARA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN
PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND
CAMAGUEY...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE TO DRY TORTUGAS.

INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST...NEAR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH...OR ABOUT 155 MILES...250 KM...EAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF
CUBA AND ABOUT 110 MILES...180 KM...SOUTH OF HAVANA CUBA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL PASS OVER
WESTERN PORTIONS OF CUBA TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEN EMERGE OVER THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO EARLY ON SUNDAY...AND REACH THE NORTHERN
GULF BY MONDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO INCREASE AND ARE NOW NEAR 145
MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS AN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. AN UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATION OF A SUSTAINED WIND OF
140 MPH...220 KM/HR...HAS BEEN REPORTED ALONG THE EASTERN COAST OF
THE ISLE OF YOUTH. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND GUSTAV COULD BECOME A CATEGORY
FIVE HURRICANE EITHER BEFORE OR SHORTLY AFTER CROSSING WESTERN
CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 23 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN
CUBA...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV
PASSES TO ITS WEST.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN
CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS
AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY MORNING.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...21.6 N...82.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB.

THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

According to the latest news, the strength of Hurricane Gustav is increasing rapidly. Its specific path remains an uncertainty right now.

Makes sense. Hurricane Gustav is not moving that fast as far as forward movement goes, but it is moving with great strength for its size. Hurricane Fay did the same thing; moved slowly and with great strength for its size. Gustav could choose to do the same thing after it makes initial landfall: move slowly with great strength.

ECC1 ALERT: The potential for Hurricane Gustav being a dangerous storm is HIGH.

The storm is already well formed and large. After hitting western Cuba Gustav will move into the Gulf of Mexico, into an area with much warmer waters. Conditions in the ocean and aloft will be favorable for the storm to grow in intensity and size. The slow forward movement of the storm will help the storm to grow. [At noon on Aug. 30 this was proving to be true.]

The ingredients are there for this storm to be a big disaster maker: Hurricane Gustav could turn out to be far worse than Hurricane Katrina. Especially if Gustav makes an abrupt westward turn just before it hits shore! In addition, the more the storm turns to the West, the more it moves into oil platform and oil refinery territory, increasing the disaster potential.

New Orleans may be spared the worst of the storm, but it is still in a position to take a bad hit.

Much like Hurricane Fay, the movement of upper level winds and currents remains an uncertainty. This uncertainty is making it almost impossible to predict just where this storm is going, but one thing appears certain, Hurricane Gustav is powerful.

The potential for Hurricane Gustav becoming a super-storm remains a possibility.

The Wild Winter Ride of 2007

March 18, 2008

Still have doubts about earth and climate changes? Still think they are some sort of a stupid myth dreamed up by conspiracy nuts?

If the Winter of 2007 proved anything, it proved climate changes are happening at an accelerated pace, and that the changes taking place are far from being over. We have only seen the "tip of the iceberg" when it comes to the overall changes that are going to take place, and the amount of destruction and countless lives that are going to be influenced by these changes.

Locations around the planet experienced a record breaking Winter. Heavy snows are going to cause heavy runoff and flooding as Spring starts to arrive.

With Winter not even over, and Spring not even having arrived, parts of the United States have been experiencing severe weather and tornadoes unlike anything they have seen before. On Friday, March 14, 2008, a tornado packing 150mph winds cut a six mile swath of destruction through the downtown Atlanta, Georgia metro area severely damaging its tourist infrastructure, and causing millions of dollars in damage. As I write this another line of heavy thunderstorms is heading into the central Georgia region.

Still, there are those who live in denial and are insistent that nothing is happening with the climate and nothing is changing. You really have to wonder just how far in the ground these individuals have their heads stuck, or just how stupid they are? These individuals bring a whole new meaning to the old term, "you can't see the forest for the trees." In the case of the climate and earth change doubters, they can't even see the trees!

Come and join us at the all new Earth Changes Central (ECC1) forums for the latest in earth, and climate change news and information. Joining the forums is easy.

The Earth is Changing...

People are looking out the window, looking into the sky, and looking all around these days; wondering and sensing what is happening with the weather, the Sun, our planet and the universe. Why does the sky look different? Why does the Sun look different? What is going on with all the comets? What is happening to our climate? What people are seeing is not just climate changes, it is earth changes. The universe and our planet is changing in profound ways.

The Earth is not flat. The Earth, and the Universe we live in are not static, they are dynamic, and as a result, changes are inevitable. Earth changes are therefore a factual reality. They have happened in the past, and they will continue to happen in the future.

As climate, geologic, and other types of profound changes continue to accelerate at levels never before seen in modern recorded history, Earth Changes Central (ECC1) and its forums continues to be at the forefront when it comes to presenting news and information about these changes. ECC1 has been around for several years, attempting to answer and explore questions about earth changes that many others seem reluctant to answer, or are simply unwilling to answer, let alone confront.

Learn more...

Wild Weather

Wild weather continues to strike the planet. Flooding in Australia; Drought in the United States. Several large hurricanes predicted for the 2007 hurricane season, with a possibility of 74% of them striking the United States.
Learn More...

The Next BIG to GREAT Earthquake

It has been 307 years since a GREAT earthquake struck the Cascades region of the Pacific Northwest and southern British Columbia. The last known GREAT earthquake that struck the Cascades region is thought to have taken place on January 26, 1700, and been 9+ in magnitude.
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